* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue (Rsm) 36,207 37,989 44,408 52,461
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 5,367 4,958 6,284 7,948
Net Profit (Rsm) 3,669 3,124 3,780 4,975
Core EPS (Rs) 16.5 14.1 17.0 22.4
Core EPS Growth 12.8% (14.8%) 21.0% 31.6%
FD Core P/E (x) 44.53 52.29 43.22 32.83
DPS (Rs) 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Dividend Yield 0.14% 0.14% 0.14% 0.14%
EV/EBITDA (x) 30.44 33.44 26.61 20.17
P/FCFE (x) 337.66 107.89 1,167.82 58.34
Net Gearing 0.3% 11.0% 15.0% (10.1%)
P/BV (x) 8.61 7.47 6.42 5.41
ROE 21.2% 15.3% 16.0% 17.9%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Net Revenues 36,207 37,989 44,408 52,461
Gross Profit 16,785 17,627 20,761 24,395
Operating EBITDA 5,367 4,958 6,284 7,948
Depreciation And Amortisation (724) (888) (1,184) (1,370)
Operating EBIT 4,643 4,070 5,100 6,578
Financial Income/(Expense) 35 (126) (260) (199)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 262 250 200 210
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 4,941 4,193 5,040 6,590
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 4,941 4,193 5,040 6,590
Taxation (1,273) (1,069) (1,260) (1,614)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 3,669 3,124 3,780 4,975
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 3,669 3,124 3,780 4,975
Recurring Net Profit 3,669 3,124 3,780 4,975
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 3,669 3,124 3,780 4,975
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
EBITDA 5,367 4,958 6,284 7,948
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (295) 598 (898) (1,114)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow 600 124 (60) 11
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (51) 126 260 199
Tax Paid (1,214) (1,069) (1,260) (1,614)
Cashflow From Operations 4,408 4,736 4,326 5,430
Capex (2,652) (6,750) (5,258) (1,765)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries 140
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments (2,206) 2,394
Other Investing Cashflow 210 134 72 136
Cash Flow From Investing (4,507) (4,222) (5,186) (1,629)
Debt Raised/(repaid) 583 1,000 1,000 (1,000)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (333) (223) (223) (223)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (126) (260) (332) (334)
Cash Flow From Financing 124 517 445 (1,557)
Total Cash Generated 25 1,031 (415) 2,243
Free Cashflow To Equity 484 1,514 140 2,800
Free Cashflow To Firm (253) 254 (1,192) 3,466
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Cash And Equivalents 2,596 1,234 819 3,062
Total Debtors 3,847 3,955 4,502 5,174
Inventories 5,033 5,724 6,692 7,905
Total Other Current Assets 993 1,145 1,338 1,581
Total Current Assets 12,469 12,058 13,351 17,723
Fixed Assets 10,002 14,437 14,761 20,156
Total Investments 2,087 2,087 2,087 2,087
Intangible Assets
Total Other Non-Current Assets 1,811 2,208 5,958 958
Total Non-current Assets 13,900 18,732 22,806 23,201
Short-term Debt 2,645 3,644 4,644
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 2,836 2,914 3,407 4,024
Other Current Liabilities 1,431 1,873 2,190 2,587
Total Current Liabilities 6,912 8,432 10,240 6,612
Total Long-term Debt 2 2 3
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 196 196 196 196
Total Non-current Liabilities 198 198 199 196
Total Provisions 279 279 279 279
Total Liabilities 7,389 8,909 10,718 7,086
Shareholders Equity 18,980 21,881 25,438 30,191
Minority Interests
Total Equity 18,980 21,881 25,438 30,191
Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue Growth 20.7% 4.9% 16.9% 18.1%
Operating EBITDA Growth 0.4% (7.6%) 26.8% 26.5%
Operating EBITDA Margin 14.8% 13.1% 14.1% 15.2%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) (0.23) (10.86) (17.23) 13.78
BVPS (Rs) 85.43 98.49 114.50 135.89
Gross Interest Cover 30.22 15.64 15.35 19.67
Effective Tax Rate 25.8% 25.5% 25.0% 24.5%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 4.5% 5.3% 4.4% 3.4%
Accounts Receivables Days 36.97 37.48 34.75 33.66
Inventory Days 93.29 96.41 95.82 94.91
Accounts Payables Days 50.57 51.54 48.78 48.32
ROIC (%) 33.1% 23.4% 22.5% 23.8%
ROCE (%) 24.4% 17.6% 18.4% 22.1%
Return On Average Assets 20.2% 15.1% 15.8% 17.6%

Analyst(s)