* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue (Rsm) 96,200 107,280 119,422 133,191
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 28,420 33,680 38,981 44,283
Net Profit (Rsm) 12,450 16,560 20,168 25,319
Core EPS (Rs) 36.8 47.1 59.6 74.8
Core EPS Growth 14.8% 28.0% 26.5% 25.5%
FD Core P/E (x) 84.13 65.71 51.94 41.37
DPS (Rs) 22.0 30.0 30.0 30.0
Dividend Yield 0.71% 0.97% 0.97% 0.97%
EV/EBITDA (x) 38.45 31.97 27.63 23.95
P/FCFE (x) 45.13 16.80 38.87 17.91
Net Gearing 73.7% 43.1% 38.0% 14.2%
P/BV (x) 16.90 15.28 13.33 11.17
ROE 20.5% 24.4% 27.4% 29.4%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Net Revenues 96,200 107,280 119,422 133,191
Gross Profit 68,850 80,420 90,752 101,988
Operating EBITDA 28,420 33,680 38,981 44,283
Depreciation And Amortisation (7,070) (8,080) (8,100) (8,500)
Operating EBIT 21,350 25,600 30,881 35,783
Financial Income/(Expense) (3,330) (3,540) (2,670) (2,100)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 450 580 600 1,000
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 18,470 22,640 28,811 34,683
Exceptional Items 880
Pre-tax Profit 18,470 23,520 28,811 34,683
Taxation (6,020) (6,960) (8,643) (9,364)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 12,450 16,560 20,168 25,319
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 12,450 16,560 20,168 25,319
Recurring Net Profit 12,450 15,940 20,168 25,319
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 12,450 15,940 20,168 25,319
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
EBITDA 28,420 33,680 38,981 44,283
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (182) 4,180 (15,366) (4,173)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow (4,557) (5,200) (8,643) (9,364)
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (3,330) (3,540) (2,670) (2,100)
Tax Paid (1,674) (3,120) (6,573) (8,264)
Cashflow From Operations 23,681 32,660 14,972 30,746
Capex (4,152) (2,990) (3,000) (3,000)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments (20,000)
Other Investing Cashflow
Cash Flow From Investing (471) 29,670 11,972 27,746
Debt Raised/(repaid)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (8,630) (10,150) (10,153) (10,153)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow 10,471 (16,990) (10,020) (4,408)
Cash Flow From Financing 1,841 (27,140) (20,174) (14,561)
Total Cash Generated 1,370 2,530 (8,202) 13,184
Free Cashflow To Equity 23,210 62,330 26,944 58,491
Free Cashflow To Firm 26,540 65,870 29,614 60,591
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Cash And Equivalents 7,270 9,800 1,598 14,783
Total Debtors 19,440 18,440 23,884 26,638
Inventories 22,300 22,790 29,856 33,298
Total Other Current Assets 4,280 5,080 5,971 6,660
Total Current Assets 53,290 56,110 61,309 81,378
Fixed Assets 34,600 35,780 30,680 25,180
Total Investments 430 320 320 320
Intangible Assets 54,270 49,210 49,210 49,210
Total Other Non-Current Assets 7,530 9,190 9,190 9,190
Total Non-current Assets 96,830 94,500 89,400 83,900
Short-term Debt 28,010 23,340 23,340 23,340
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 16,790 20,890 18,426 20,152
Other Current Liabilities 9,670 10,030 10,529 11,515
Total Current Liabilities 54,470 54,260 52,295 55,007
Total Long-term Debt 24,960 16,040 8,090 4,782
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 8,710 11,750 11,750 11,750
Total Non-current Liabilities 33,670 27,790 19,840 16,532
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 88,140 82,050 72,135 71,539
Shareholders Equity 61,980 68,560 78,574 93,739
Minority Interests
Total Equity 61,980 68,560 78,574 93,739
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue Growth 13.1% 11.5% 11.3% 11.5%
Operating EBITDA Growth 16.9% 18.5% 15.7% 13.6%
Operating EBITDA Margin 29.5% 31.4% 32.6% 33.2%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) (135.03) (87.40) (88.14) (39.41)
BVPS (Rs) 183.13 202.57 232.16 276.97
Gross Interest Cover 6.41 7.23 11.57 17.04
Effective Tax Rate 32.6% 29.6% 30.0% 27.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days 67.86 64.44 64.68 69.23
Inventory Days 313.09 306.36 335.11 369.37
Accounts Payables Days 223.74 256.02 250.27 225.64
ROIC (%) 13.8% 17.5% 19.3% 22.6%
ROCE (%) 19.8% 23.0% 28.3% 30.9%
Return On Average Assets 10.6% 12.2% 14.7% 17.0%

Analyst(s)

Praful BOHRA

(91) 22 4161 1552 praful.bohra@incredresearch.com

Yogesh SONI

(91) 22 4161 1566 yogesh.soni@incredresearch.com