* price as on 06 Jun 2025
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 986,917 1,136,626 1,303,026 1,474,170
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 90,486 105,519 118,016 137,001
Net Profit (Rsm) 22,342 35,370 43,553 56,642
Core EPS (Rs) 4.0 5.2 6.1 8.0
Core EPS Growth 79.1% 28.5% 18.7% 30.1%
FD Core P/E (x) 50.16 31.69 25.73 19.79
DPS (Rs) 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.5
Dividend Yield 0.48% 0.53% 0.63% 0.95%
EV/EBITDA (x) 13.04 10.84 9.40 7.86
P/FCFE (x) 39.61 (11.32) (74.09) (68.83)
Net Gearing 36.7% 23.5% 16.3% 12.0%
P/BV (x) 4.28 3.27 2.84 2.54
ROE 11.8% 12.1% 11.8% 13.6%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 986,917 1,136,626 1,303,026 1,474,170
Gross Profit 442,770 526,104 573,331 648,635
Operating EBITDA 90,486 105,519 118,016 137,001
Depreciation And Amortisation (38,105) (44,934) (50,776) (56,361)
Operating EBIT 52,381 60,585 67,241 80,640
Financial Income/(Expense) (14,902) (18,824) (16,391) (13,805)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 2,266 3,797 4,670 5,371
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 39,745 45,558 55,520 72,206
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 39,745 45,558 55,520 72,206
Taxation (10,516) (10,706) (14,435) (18,774)
Exceptional Income - post-tax (6,229) (1,330)
Profit After Tax 23,000 33,522 41,085 53,433
Minority Interests (3,034) (3,427) (4,284) (5,569)
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax 2,376 5,275 6,752 8,778
Net Profit 22,342 35,370 43,553 56,642
Recurring Net Profit 28,571 36,700 43,553 56,642
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 28,571 36,700 43,553 56,642
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 90,486 105,519 118,016 137,001
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (14,541) 37,156 15,570 (6,249)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions 53,165 (111,848) (117,000) (89,400)
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense 3,536 10,978 9,701 7,571
Other Operating Cashflow
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (12,637) (15,027) (11,721) (8,434)
Tax Paid (12,627) (13,762) (17,211) (22,384)
Cashflow From Operations 107,382 13,016 (2,644) 18,105
Capex (118,049) (118,000) (60,000) (65,000)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow 47,616 179,481 173,031 34,584
Cash Flow From Investing (70,433) 61,481 113,031 (30,416)
Debt Raised/(repaid) (8,657) (173,513) (125,513) (3,972)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares 64,376 15,000
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (5,421) (5,981) (7,116) (10,674)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow
Cash Flow From Financing (14,078) (115,118) (117,629) (14,646)
Total Cash Generated 22,871 (40,622) (7,242) (26,956)
Free Cashflow To Equity 28,292 (99,017) (15,126) (16,282)
Free Cashflow To Firm 51,851 93,320 126,778 1,494
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 69,858 39,256 54,202 55,877
Total Debtors 171,943 155,702 171,357 189,825
Inventories 91,386 108,992 121,378 137,320
Total Other Current Assets 56,788 59,000 62,000 65,000
Total Current Assets 389,974 362,949 408,937 448,022
Fixed Assets 326,192 399,258 408,482 417,121
Total Investments 65,215 86,735 108,419 135,524
Intangible Assets
Total Other Non-Current Assets 68,837 65,746 69,746 72,746
Total Non-current Assets 460,243 551,740 586,648 625,391
Short-term Debt 8,000 5,000 3,000 3,000
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt 100,513 55,513 70,000 65,000
Total Creditors 226,172 249,123 257,035 282,718
Other Current Liabilities 136,637 140,000 155,000 160,000
Total Current Liabilities 471,322 449,636 485,035 510,718
Total Long-term Debt 65,000 65,000 50,000 45,000
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities
Total Non-current Liabilities 65,000 65,000 50,000 45,000
Total Provisions 31,740 33,045 37,821 43,432
Total Liabilities 568,062 547,682 572,856 599,149
Shareholders Equity 261,549 342,974 394,412 440,379
Minority Interests 20,606 24,033 28,316 33,885
Total Equity 282,155 367,007 422,728 474,264
Mar-24A Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 25.4% 15.2% 14.6% 13.1%
Operating EBITDA Growth 45.8% 16.6% 11.8% 16.1%
Operating EBITDA Margin 9.2% 9.3% 9.1% 9.3%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) (14.57) (12.12) (9.67) (8.03)
BVPS (Rs) 36.75 48.20 55.43 61.89
Gross Interest Cover 3.52 3.22 4.10 5.84
Effective Tax Rate 26.5% 23.5% 26.0% 26.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 19.0% 16.3% 16.3% 18.8%
Accounts Receivables Days 49.99 52.61 45.81 44.71
Inventory Days 56.89 59.90 57.62 57.19
Accounts Payables Days 123.27 142.08 126.59 119.32
ROIC (%) 19.1% 17.2% 16.8% 19.2%
ROCE (%) 12.6% 12.5% 12.6% 13.9%
Return On Average Assets 6.3% 6.7% 6.7% 7.3%

Analyst(s)

Pramod AMTHE

(91) 22 4161 1541 pramod.amthe@incredresearch.com

Ravi GUPTA

(91) 22 4161 1552 ravi.gupta@incredresearch.com