* price as on 28 Jan 2025
Financial
Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue (Rsm) 64,920 76,658 75,627 79,408
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 15,421 20,147 23,712 24,329
Net Profit (Rsm) 12,295 16,815 18,065 18,420
Core EPS (Rs) 80.9 110.7 118.9 121.3
Core EPS Growth 38.0% 36.8% 7.4% 2.0%
FD Core P/E (x) 41.37 30.25 28.15 27.61
DPS (Rs) 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.2
Dividend Yield 0.06% 0.06% 0.06% 0.07%
EV/EBITDA (x) 30.89 23.35 19.13 17.91
P/FCFE (x) 75.91 195.46 22.06 26.89
Net Gearing (44.8%) (43.8%) (52.3%) (59.1%)
P/BV (x) 7.07 5.83 4.84 4.12
ROE 18.5% 21.1% 18.8% 16.1%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Net Revenues 64,920 76,658 75,627 79,408
Gross Profit 64,920 76,658 75,627 79,408
Operating EBITDA 15,421 20,147 23,712 24,329
Depreciation And Amortisation (2,265) (3,082) (3,343) (3,558)
Operating EBIT 13,156 17,065 20,369 20,771
Financial Income/(Expense) (371) (300) (600) (600)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc. 68 105
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 1,590 2,077 600 600
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 14,443 18,947 20,369 20,771
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 14,443 18,947 20,369 20,771
Taxation (2,148) (2,132) (2,305) (2,350)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 12,295 16,815 18,065 18,420
Minority Interests
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 12,295 16,815 18,065 18,420
Recurring Net Profit 12,295 16,815 18,065 18,420
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 12,295 16,815 18,065 18,420
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
EBITDA 15,421 20,147 23,712 24,329
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital 2,050 3,671 (2,010) (1,316)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense (1,557) (1,891)
Other Operating Cashflow (3,087) (5,018) (3,410) (3,096)
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (371) (300) (600) (600)
Tax Paid 2,558 3,750 2,305 2,378
Cashflow From Operations 15,014 20,359 19,998 21,694
Capex (3,225) (6,190) (2,781) (2,781)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow (1,737) (11,815) 5,836
Cash Flow From Investing (4,962) (18,005) 3,055 (2,781)
Debt Raised/(repaid) (3,352) 248
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (1,137) (1,744) (326) (337)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow (342) (720) (600) (600)
Cash Flow From Financing (4,831) (2,216) (926) (937)
Total Cash Generated 5,221 138 22,126 17,977
Free Cashflow To Equity 6,700 2,602 23,053 18,913
Free Cashflow To Firm 10,423 2,654 23,653 19,513
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Cash And Equivalents 32,272 39,499 56,244 74,221
Total Debtors 7,720 9,299 11,329 12,491
Inventories 13,976 13,012 12,837 14,153
Total Other Current Assets 2,655 4,975 4,975 4,975
Total Current Assets 56,623 66,785 85,386 105,839
Fixed Assets 28,901 32,324 31,762 30,770
Total Investments 313 903 448 448
Intangible Assets 828 3,611 3,611 3,611
Total Other Non-Current Assets 482 4,017 4,017 4,017
Total Non-current Assets 30,524 40,855 39,838 38,846
Short-term Debt 662 662 662
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 8,380 11,484 11,329 12,491
Other Current Liabilities 3,438 4,960 4,960 4,960
Total Current Liabilities 11,818 17,106 16,951 18,113
Total Long-term Debt 617 617 617
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 678 2,041 2,041 2,041
Total Non-current Liabilities 678 2,658 2,658 2,658
Total Provisions 316 566 566 566
Total Liabilities 12,812 20,330 20,175 21,337
Shareholders Equity 71,985 87,310 105,048 123,348
Minority Interests
Total Equity 71,985 87,310 105,048 123,348
Mar-23A Mar-24F Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue Growth 21.4% 18.1% (1.3%) 5.0%
Operating EBITDA Growth 29.6% 30.6% 17.7% 2.6%
Operating EBITDA Margin 23.8% 26.3% 31.4% 30.6%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) 212.44 251.59 361.82 480.16
BVPS (Rs) 473.86 574.74 691.50 811.96
Gross Interest Cover 35.46 56.88 33.95 34.62
Effective Tax Rate 14.9% 11.3% 11.3% 11.3%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 2.5% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8%
Accounts Receivables Days 46.12 40.52 49.78 54.75
Inventory Days
Accounts Payables Days
ROIC (%) 30.8% 33.6% 39.0% 39.5%
ROCE (%) 19.2% 21.2% 20.9% 18.0%
Return On Average Assets 15.3% 17.6% 16.0% 14.1%

Analyst(s)

Satish KUMAR

(91) 22 4161 1562 satish.kumar@incredresearch.com

Abbas PUNJANI

(91) 22 4161 1598 abbas.punjani@incredresearch.com