* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-20A Mar-21F Mar-22F Mar-23F
Net Interest Income (Rsm) 14,953 18,457 22,381 27,503
Total Non-Interest Income (Rsm) 2,824 3,400 3,718 4,334
Operating Revenue (Rsm) 17,777 21,857 26,099 31,837
Total Provision Charges (Rsm) (2,466) (4,450) (4,076) (4,193)
Net Profit (Rsm) 2,436 3,319 5,207 7,221
Core EPS (Rs) 2.31 3.14 4.92 6.81
Core EPS Growth 10% 36% 57% 38%
FD Core P/E (x) 28.51 20.97 13.40 9.68
DPS (Rs)
Dividend Yield
BVPS (Rs) 26.1 29.2 34.0 40.8
P/BV (x) 2.53 2.26 1.94 1.62
ROE 9.7% 11.4% 15.6% 18.2%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-20A Mar-21F Mar-22F Mar-23F
Net Interest Income 14,953 18,457 22,381 27,503
Total Non-Interest Income 2,824 3,400 3,718 4,334
Operating Revenue 17,777 21,857 26,099 31,837
Total Non-Interest Expenses (10,836) (11,920) (13,913) (16,696)
Pre-provision Operating Profit 5,976 8,876 11,019 13,822
Total Provision Charges (2,466) (4,450) (4,076) (4,193)
Operating Profit After Provisions 3,509 4,426 6,942 9,629
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Operating EBIT (incl Associates) 3,509 4,426 6,942 9,629
Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 3,509 4,426 6,942 9,629
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 3,509 4,426 6,942 9,629
Taxation (1,073) (1,106) (1,736) (2,407)
Consolidation Adjustments & Others
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 2,436 3,319 5,207 7,221
Minority Interests
Pref. & Special Div
FX And Other Adj.
Net Profit 2,436 3,319 5,207 7,221
(Rs mn) Mar-20A Mar-21F Mar-22F Mar-23F
Gross Loans/Cust Deposits 129.0% 116.4% 120.3% 122.9%
Avg Loans/Avg Deposits 129.4% 121.5% 118.5% 121.7%
Avg Liquid Assets/Avg Assets 24.2% 26.4% 25.8% 23.1%
Avg Liquid Assets/Avg IEAs 28.0% 31.2% 30.1% 26.2%
Net Cust Loans/Assets 71.2% 70.1% 72.7% 75.5%
Net Cust Loans/Broad Deposits 127.4% 113.5% 116.4% 118.7%
Equity & Provns/Gross Cust Loans 21.2% 19.8% 19.8% 19.4%
Asset Risk Weighting 65.8% 62.9% 63.8% 64.9%
Provision Charge/Avg Cust Loans 1.03% 2.48% 1.75% 1.45%
Provision Charge/Avg Assets 0.75% 1.78% 1.29% 1.11%
Total Write Offs/Average Assets (0.97%) (2.10%) (2.62%) (2.94%)
(Rs mn) Mar-20A Mar-21F Mar-22F Mar-23F
Total Gross Loans 139,170 183,412 225,907 283,548
Liquid Assets & Invst. (Current) 23,425 32,605 35,824 39,365
Other Int. Earning Assets
Total Gross Int. Earning Assets 162,595 216,016 261,731 322,913
Total Provisions/Loan Loss Reserve (1,698) (4,698) (7,274) (9,767)
Total Net Interest Earning Assets 160,897 211,319 254,458 313,146
Intangible Assets
Other Non-Interest Earning Assets 1,312 1,443 1,588 1,746
Total Non-Interest Earning Assets 6,880 6,810 8,142 9,822
Cash And Marketable Securities 25,368 36,910 38,242 39,691
Long-term Investments
Total Assets 193,145 255,039 300,842 362,658
Customer Interest-Bearing Liabilities 107,884 157,509 187,847 230,737
Bank Deposits
Interest Bearing Liabilities: Others 51,349 59,051 67,909 78,095
Total Interest-Bearing Liabilities 159,233 216,560 255,756 308,832
Banks Liabilities Under Acceptances
Total Non-Interest Bearing Liabilities 6,471 7,697 9,076 10,574
Total Liabilities 165,704 224,257 264,832 319,406
Shareholders Equity 27,441 30,782 36,010 43,253
Minority Interests
Total Equity 27,441 30,782 36,010 43,253
Mar-20A Mar-21F Mar-22F Mar-23F
Total Income Growth 29.8% 23.4% 21.3% 22.9%
Operating Profit Growth 34.0% 43.2% 22.6% 24.2%
Pretax Profit Growth 8% 26% 57% 39%
Net Interest To Total Income 84.1% 84.4% 85.8% 86.4%
Cost Of Funds 7.96% 6.94% 6.45% 6.73%
Return On Interest Earning Assets 17.5% 16.6% 15.7% 15.9%
Net Interest Spread 9.50% 9.70% 9.30% 9.18%
Net Interest Margin (Avg Deposits) 15.11% 13.91% 12.96% 13.14%
Net Interest Margin (Avg RWA) 13.21% 12.84% 12.70% 12.88%
Provisions to Pre Prov. Operating Profit 41% 50% 37% 30%
Interest Return On Average Assets 8.53% 8.24% 8.05% 8.29%
Effective Tax Rate 30.6% 25.0% 25.0% 25.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Return On Average Assets 1.39% 1.48% 1.87% 2.18%

Analyst(s)

Jignesh SHIAL

(91) 22 4161 1547 jignesh.shial@incredresearch.com

Rishabh JOGANI

(91) 22 4161 1569 rishabh.jogani@incredresearch.com

Meghna LUTHRA

(91) 22 4161 1500 meghna.luthra@incredresearch.com