* price as on 12 Sep 2025
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 50,408 55,537 65,231 75,228
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 7,775 10,550 15,969 20,185
Net Profit (Rsm) 1,623 3,580 6,647 9,702
Core EPS (Rs) 3.0 6.6 12.3 18.0
Core EPS Growth (79.5%) 120.6% 85.7% 46.0%
FD Core P/E (x) 297.77 134.96 72.69 49.80
DPS (Rs) 2.0 0.8 0.8 2.0
Dividend Yield 0.22% 0.09% 0.09% 0.22%
EV/EBITDA (x) 65.04 48.12 31.93 25.07
P/FCFE (x) 73.73 72.97 45.95 25.49
Net Gearing 57.5% 55.4% 53.3% 39.4%
P/BV (x) 11.75 10.80 9.47 7.99
ROE 4.0% 8.3% 13.9% 17.4%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 50,408 55,537 65,231 75,228
Gross Profit 26,084 30,757 37,508 44,009
Operating EBITDA 7,775 10,550 15,969 20,185
Depreciation And Amortisation (3,846) (4,301) (4,800) (5,200)
Operating EBIT 3,929 6,249 11,169 14,985
Financial Income/(Expense) (1,829) (2,160) (2,550) (2,200)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 263 751 350 300
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 2,364 4,840 8,969 13,085
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 2,364 4,840 8,969 13,085
Taxation (682) (1,299) (2,422) (3,533)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 1,682 3,541 6,547 9,552
Minority Interests (59) 39 100 150
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 1,623 3,580 6,647 9,702
Recurring Net Profit 1,623 3,580 6,647 9,702
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 1,623 3,580 6,647 9,702
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 7,775 10,550 15,969 20,185
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (290) (3,746) (3,389) (3,825)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow (828) (787) (2,322) (3,383)
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (1,829) (2,160) (2,550) (2,200)
Tax Paid 738 619 (122) (1,483)
Cashflow From Operations 6,657 6,017 10,258 12,977
Capex (6,760) (5,411) (10,000) (7,000)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments
Other Investing Cashflow
Cash Flow From Investing (103) 605 258 5,977
Debt Raised/(repaid)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares 26 102
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (862) (431) (431) (431)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow 1,871 (250) (398) (2,952)
Cash Flow From Financing 1,035 (580) (830) (3,384)
Total Cash Generated 932 26 (571) 2,593
Free Cashflow To Equity 6,554 6,622 10,517 18,954
Free Cashflow To Firm 8,383 8,782 13,067 21,154
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 1,417 1,442 871 3,464
Total Debtors 16,629 20,072 22,179 24,073
Inventories 18,454 19,365 22,179 24,825
Total Other Current Assets 1,850 2,444 2,283 2,633
Total Current Assets 38,350 43,323 47,511 54,996
Fixed Assets 40,475 43,160 48,360 50,160
Total Investments 1,240 2,333 2,333 2,333
Intangible Assets 2,653 2,656 2,656 2,656
Total Other Non-Current Assets 1,152 1,884 1,884 1,884
Total Non-current Assets 45,521 50,033 55,233 57,033
Short-term Debt 17,088 20,475 20,475 20,475
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 10,512 9,585 9,698 9,981
Other Current Liabilities 3,522 5,337 6,595 7,377
Total Current Liabilities 31,123 35,397 36,768 37,833
Total Long-term Debt 7,982 6,456 8,258 7,205
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 3,610 5,478 5,478 5,478
Total Non-current Liabilities 11,592 11,933 13,735 12,683
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 42,715 47,331 50,503 50,516
Shareholders Equity 41,110 44,726 51,042 60,463
Minority Interests 46 1,300 1,200 1,050
Total Equity 41,156 46,025 52,241 61,512
Mar-24A Mar-25A Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth (16.6%) 10.2% 17.5% 15.3%
Operating EBITDA Growth (51.2%) 35.7% 51.4% 26.4%
Operating EBITDA Margin 15.4% 19.0% 24.5% 26.8%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) (43.86) (47.27) (51.67) (44.91)
BVPS (Rs) 76.23 82.94 94.65 112.12
Gross Interest Cover 2.15 2.89 4.38 6.81
Effective Tax Rate 28.8% 26.8% 27.0% 27.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days 117.42 120.60 118.20 112.20
Inventory Days 264.87 278.54 273.48 274.77
Accounts Payables Days 132.19 148.01 126.94 115.04
ROIC (%) 4.4% 6.3% 10.0% 12.6%
ROCE (%) 6.2% 9.0% 14.5% 17.6%
Return On Average Assets 3.8% 5.8% 8.6% 10.4%

Analyst(s)

Yogesh SONI

(91) 22 4161 1566 yogesh.soni@incredresearch.com