* price as on 28 Jan 2025
Financial
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue (Rsm) 60,406 50,408 55,929 65,766
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 15,922 7,775 11,193 15,581
Net Profit (Rsm) 7,901 1,623 3,643 6,619
Core EPS (Rs) 14.7 3.0 6.8 12.3
Core EPS Growth (4.5%) (79.5%) 124.5% 81.7%
FD Core P/E (x) 34.82 169.56 75.52 41.57
DPS (Rs) 4.0 2.0 2.0 2.0
Dividend Yield 0.78% 0.39% 0.39% 0.39%
EV/EBITDA (x) 18.46 38.28 26.60 19.16
P/FCFE (x) 28.13 41.98 20.06 22.95
Net Gearing 47.5% 57.5% 54.4% 50.2%
P/BV (x) 6.81 6.69 6.29 5.57
ROE 21.4% 4.0% 8.6% 14.2%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Net Revenues 60,406 50,408 55,929 65,766
Gross Profit 32,662 26,084 31,488 37,487
Operating EBITDA 15,922 7,775 11,193 15,581
Depreciation And Amortisation (3,241) (3,846) (4,300) (4,800)
Operating EBIT 12,681 3,929 6,893 10,781
Financial Income/(Expense) (1,652) (1,829) (2,180) (2,100)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 60 263 250 250
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 11,089 2,364 4,963 8,931
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 11,089 2,364 4,963 8,931
Taxation (3,123) (682) (1,390) (2,411)
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 7,966 1,682 3,573 6,519
Minority Interests (65) (59) 70 100
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 7,901 1,623 3,643 6,619
Recurring Net Profit 7,901 1,623 3,643 6,619
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 7,901 1,623 3,643 6,619
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
EBITDA 15,922 7,775 11,193 15,581
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (3,153) (290) 986 (3,276)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow (2,830) (828) (1,320) (2,311)
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (1,652) (1,829) (2,180) (2,100)
Tax Paid (1,239) 738 610 (461)
Cashflow From Operations 9,939 6,657 10,859 9,994
Capex (9,875) (6,760) (8,000) (8,000)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments (223)
Other Investing Cashflow
Cash Flow From Investing (159) (103) 2,859 1,994
Debt Raised/(repaid)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares 74 26
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (1,404) (862) (1,080) (1,083)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow 1,207 1,871 (1,643) (116)
Cash Flow From Financing (122) 1,035 (2,723) (1,199)
Total Cash Generated (281) 932 136 795
Free Cashflow To Equity 9,780 6,554 13,719 11,988
Free Cashflow To Firm 11,432 8,383 15,899 14,088
(Rs mn) Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Total Cash And Equivalents 485 1,417 1,552 2,348
Total Debtors 15,804 16,629 16,779 18,415
Inventories 16,848 18,454 19,575 21,045
Total Other Current Assets 1,480 1,850 1,957 2,302
Total Current Assets 34,617 38,350 39,863 44,109
Fixed Assets 37,002 40,475 44,175 47,375
Total Investments 499 1,240 1,240 1,240
Intangible Assets 2,592 2,653 2,653 2,653
Total Other Non-Current Assets 1,894 1,152 1,152 1,152
Total Non-current Assets 41,987 45,521 49,221 52,421
Short-term Debt 12,106 17,088 17,088 17,088
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors 7,107 10,512 10,467 9,865
Other Current Liabilities 5,111 3,522 5,931 6,708
Total Current Liabilities 24,323 31,123 33,487 33,662
Total Long-term Debt 7,614 7,982 8,269 10,003
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities 4,181 3,610 3,610 3,610
Total Non-current Liabilities 11,795 11,592 11,878 13,612
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 36,117 42,715 45,365 47,274
Shareholders Equity 40,375 41,110 43,743 49,380
Minority Interests 111 46 (24) (124)
Total Equity 40,487 41,156 43,719 49,256
Mar-23A Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F
Revenue Growth 22.4% (16.6%) 11.0% 17.6%
Operating EBITDA Growth 11.9% (51.2%) 44.0% 39.2%
Operating EBITDA Margin 26.4% 15.4% 20.0% 23.7%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) (35.71) (43.91) (44.19) (45.93)
BVPS (Rs) 74.95 76.31 81.20 91.66
Gross Interest Cover 7.68 2.15 3.16 5.13
Effective Tax Rate 28.2% 28.8% 28.0% 27.0%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Accounts Receivables Days 88.66 117.42 109.01 97.66
Inventory Days 226.63 264.87 283.96 262.14
Accounts Payables Days 104.40 132.19 156.66 131.21
ROIC (%) 15.0% 4.4% 7.4% 10.6%
ROCE (%) 22.8% 6.2% 10.2% 14.8%
Return On Average Assets 12.6% 3.8% 6.0% 8.7%

Analyst(s)

Praful BOHRA

(91) 22 4161 1552 praful.bohra@incredresearch.com

Yogesh SONI

(91) 22 4161 1566 yogesh.soni@incredresearch.com