* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Net Interest Income (Rsm) 96,146 130,832 165,872 204,864
Total Non-Interest Income (Rsm) 3,711 2,597 2,857 3,143
Operating Revenue (Rsm) 99,857 133,429 168,729 208,007
Total Provision Charges (Rsm) (13,218) (24,460) (28,560) (33,747)
Net Profit (Rsm) 34,228 41,914 55,666 70,635
Core EPS (Rs) 40.73 49.88 65.14 82.65
Core EPS Growth 25% 22% 31% 27%
FD Core P/E (x) 30.34 24.78 18.98 14.95
DPS (Rs) 2.00 4.00 7.00 13.00
Dividend Yield 0.16% 0.32% 0.57% 1.05%
BVPS (Rs) 232.7 278.6 332.2 402.1
P/BV (x) 5.31 4.44 3.72 3.07
ROE 20.2% 19.5% 21.5% 22.5%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Net Interest Income 96,146 130,832 165,872 204,864
Total Non-Interest Income 3,711 2,597 2,857 3,143
Operating Revenue 99,857 133,429 168,729 208,007
Total Non-Interest Expenses (38,860) (50,360) (62,631) (76,065)
Pre-provision Operating Profit 59,039 80,720 103,279 128,559
Total Provision Charges (13,218) (24,460) (28,560) (33,747)
Operating Profit After Provisions 45,821 56,260 74,719 94,812
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Operating EBIT (incl Associates) 45,821 56,260 74,719 94,812
Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 45,821 56,260 74,719 94,812
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 45,821 56,260 74,719 94,812
Taxation (11,593) (14,346) (19,053) (24,177)
Consolidation Adjustments & Others
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 34,228 41,914 55,666 70,635
Minority Interests
Pref. & Special Div
FX And Other Adj.
Net Profit 34,228 41,914 55,666 70,635
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Gross Loans/Cust Deposits
Avg Loans/Avg Deposits
Avg Liquid Assets/Avg Assets 95.0% 95.2% 95.4% 95.6%
Avg Liquid Assets/Avg IEAs 102.9% 103.2% 103.2% 103.3%
Net Cust Loans/Assets
Net Cust Loans/Broad Deposits
Equity & Provns/Gross Cust Loans
Asset Risk Weighting
Provision Charge/Avg Cust Loans
Provision Charge/Avg Assets
Total Write Offs/Average Assets
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Gross Loans 1,444,243 1,817,100 2,262,965 2,736,581
Liquid Assets & Invst. (Current)
Other Int. Earning Assets
Total Gross Int. Earning Assets 1,444,243 1,817,100 2,262,965 2,736,581
Total Provisions/Loan Loss Reserve
Total Net Interest Earning Assets 1,444,243 1,817,100 2,262,965 2,736,581
Intangible Assets
Other Non-Interest Earning Assets 14,180 16,732 19,744 23,297
Total Non-Interest Earning Assets 36,061 40,914 46,572 53,169
Cash And Marketable Securities 43,202 62,152 67,310 99,090
Long-term Investments 41,002 51,179 63,479 77,101
Total Assets 1,564,508 1,971,344 2,440,326 2,965,940
Customer Interest-Bearing Liabilities
Bank Deposits 1,344,736 1,705,950 2,115,969 2,570,021
Interest Bearing Liabilities: Others
Total Interest-Bearing Liabilities 1,344,736 1,705,950 2,115,969 2,570,021
Banks Liabilities Under Acceptances
Total Non-Interest Bearing Liabilities 24,207 31,276 40,428 52,279
Total Liabilities 1,368,943 1,737,227 2,156,396 2,622,299
Shareholders Equity 195,565 234,118 283,930 343,641
Minority Interests
Total Equity 195,565 234,118 283,930 343,641
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Income Growth 37.2% 36.1% 26.8% 23.5%
Operating Profit Growth 33.5% 36.2% 27.7% 24.4%
Pretax Profit Growth 27% 23% 33% 27%
Net Interest To Total Income 96.3% 98.1% 98.3% 98.5%
Cost Of Funds 7.96% 8.10% 7.60% 7.10%
Return On Interest Earning Assets 15.1% 15.6% 15.3% 14.8%
Net Interest Spread 7.17% 7.50% 7.65% 7.75%
Net Interest Margin (Avg Deposits)
Net Interest Margin (Avg RWA)
Provisions to Pre Prov. Operating Profit 22% 30% 28% 26%
Interest Return On Average Assets 7.12% 7.40% 7.52% 7.58%
Effective Tax Rate 25.3% 25.5% 25.5% 25.5%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 4.9% 8.0% 10.6% 15.5%
Return On Average Assets 2.54% 2.37% 2.52% 2.61%

Analyst(s)

Jignesh SHIAL

(91) 22 4161 1547 jignesh.shial@incredresearch.com

Rishabh JOGANI

(91) 22 4161 1569 rishabh.jogani@incredresearch.com

Meghna LUTHRA

(91) 22 4161 1500 meghna.luthra@incredresearch.com