* price as on 19 Nov 2024
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Net Interest Income (Rsm) 53,319 61,131 73,201 86,675
Total Non-Interest Income (Rsm) 95,564 94,674 107,896 122,938
Operating Revenue (Rsm) 148,883 155,805 181,097 209,614
Total Provision Charges (Rsm) (32,874) (46,006) (51,804) (59,082)
Net Profit (Rsm) 24,079 20,084 21,300 24,482
Core EPS (Rs) 25.32 21.12 22.40 25.74
Core EPS Growth 6% (17%) 6% 15%
FD Core P/E (x) 27.04 32.41 30.56 26.59
DPS (Rs) 2.50 3.18 3.37 3.87
Dividend Yield 0.37% 0.46% 0.49% 0.57%
BVPS (Rs) 127.1 145.0 164.1 185.9
P/BV (x) 5.39 4.72 4.17 3.68
ROE 22.0% 15.5% 14.5% 14.7%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Net Interest Income 53,319 61,131 73,201 86,675
Total Non-Interest Income 95,564 94,674 107,896 122,938
Operating Revenue 148,883 155,805 181,097 209,614
Total Non-Interest Expenses (83,691) (82,840) (100,703) (117,670)
Pre-provision Operating Profit 65,192 72,965 80,394 91,944
Total Provision Charges (32,874) (46,006) (51,804) (59,082)
Operating Profit After Provisions 32,318 26,959 28,590 32,862
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Operating EBIT (incl Associates) 32,318 26,959 28,590 32,862
Non-Operating Income/(Expense)
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 32,318 26,959 28,590 32,862
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 32,318 26,959 28,590 32,862
Taxation (8,239) (6,875) (7,291) (8,380)
Consolidation Adjustments & Others
Exceptional Income - post-tax
Profit After Tax 24,079 20,084 21,300 24,482
Minority Interests
Pref. & Special Div
FX And Other Adj.
Net Profit 24,079 20,084 21,300 24,482
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Gross Loans/Cust Deposits
Avg Loans/Avg Deposits
Avg Liquid Assets/Avg Assets 9.4% 9.8% 8.8% 8.4%
Avg Liquid Assets/Avg IEAs 10.4% 10.8% 9.6% 9.0%
Net Cust Loans/Assets 84.4% 86.3% 87.0% 87.7%
Net Cust Loans/Broad Deposits
Equity & Provns/Gross Cust Loans 24.6% 23.3% 22.4% 21.6%
Asset Risk Weighting 93.5% 93.5% 93.5% 93.5%
Provision Charge/Avg Cust Loans 7.43% 8.50% 8.05% 7.80%
Provision Charge/Avg Assets 6.34% 7.26% 6.97% 6.81%
Total Write Offs/Average Assets
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Gross Loans 490,790 591,715 695,331 819,590
Liquid Assets & Invst. (Current) 35,191 40,118 46,537 54,914
Other Int. Earning Assets
Total Gross Int. Earning Assets 525,981 631,833 741,868 874,503
Total Provisions/Loan Loss Reserve
Total Net Interest Earning Assets 525,981 631,833 741,868 874,503
Intangible Assets
Other Non-Interest Earning Assets 28,435 32,136 35,053 38,248
Total Non-Interest Earning Assets 28,435 32,136 35,053 38,248
Cash And Marketable Securities 27,296 22,066 22,704 22,046
Long-term Investments
Total Assets 581,712 686,035 799,626 934,797
Customer Interest-Bearing Liabilities
Bank Deposits
Interest Bearing Liabilities: Others 443,649 528,317 620,832 731,776
Total Interest-Bearing Liabilities 443,649 528,317 620,832 731,776
Banks Liabilities Under Acceptances
Total Non-Interest Bearing Liabilities 17,223 19,807 22,778 26,194
Total Liabilities 460,872 548,123 643,609 757,971
Shareholders Equity 120,840 137,912 156,017 176,827
Minority Interests
Total Equity 120,840 137,912 156,017 176,827
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Income Growth 18.4% 14.7% 19.7% 18.4%
Operating Profit Growth 25.6% 11.9% 10.2% 14.4%
Pretax Profit Growth 7% (17%) 6% 15%
Net Interest To Total Income 35.8% 39.2% 40.4% 41.3%
Cost Of Funds 6.61% 6.80% 6.30% 6.00%
Return On Interest Earning Assets 16.8% 16.3% 15.9% 15.7%
Net Interest Spread 10.24% 9.47% 9.63% 9.75%
Net Interest Margin (Avg Deposits)
Net Interest Margin (Avg RWA) 11.75% 10.31% 10.54% 10.69%
Provisions to Pre Prov. Operating Profit 50% 63% 64% 64%
Interest Return On Average Assets 10.28% 9.64% 9.85% 9.99%
Effective Tax Rate 25.5% 25.5% 25.5% 25.5%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio
Return On Average Assets 4.64% 3.17% 2.87% 2.82%

Analyst(s)

Jignesh SHIAL

(91) 22 4161 1547 jignesh.shial@incredresearch.com

Rishabh JOGANI

(91) 22 4161 1569 rishabh.jogani@incredresearch.com

Meghna LUTHRA

(91) 22 4161 1500 meghna.luthra@incredresearch.com