* price as on 06 Jun 2025
Financial
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue (Rsm) 42,943 37,015 38,710 44,028
Operating EBITDA (Rsm) 9,395 8,430 9,163 10,301
Net Profit (Rsm) 7,772 5,703 5,249 5,909
Core EPS (Rs) 22.3 20.3 18.7 21.0
Core EPS Growth 58.2% (9.0%) (8.0%) 12.6%
FD Core P/E (x) 9.47 10.41 11.31 10.05
DPS (Rs) 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Dividend Yield 0.27% 0.30% 0.30% 0.30%
EV/EBITDA (x) 7.09 10.94 9.56 8.18
P/FCFE (x) 44.66 12.57 (18.80) 99.68
Net Gearing 23.5% 82.7% 63.7% 50.3%
P/BV (x) 1.67 1.45 1.29 1.14
ROE 19.8% 14.9% 12.0% 12.1%
% Change In Core EPS Estimates
InCred Research/Consensus EPS (x)
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Net Revenues 42,943 37,015 38,710 44,028
Gross Profit 12,043 12,955 13,548 15,410
Operating EBITDA 9,395 8,430 9,163 10,301
Depreciation And Amortisation (1,568) (1,247) (1,294) (1,394)
Operating EBIT 7,826 7,183 7,869 8,907
Financial Income/(Expense) (1,015) (1,540) (1,623) (1,768)
Pretax Income/(Loss) from Assoc.
Non-Operating Income/(Expense) 352 1,400 500 500
Profit Before Tax (pre-EI) 7,163 7,043 6,746 7,639
Exceptional Items
Pre-tax Profit 7,163 7,043 6,746 7,639
Taxation (1,330) (1,299) (1,421) (1,617)
Exceptional Income - post-tax 1,503
Profit After Tax 7,336 5,744 5,325 6,022
Minority Interests 436 (41) (76) (114)
Preferred Dividends
FX Gain/(Loss) - post tax
Other Adjustments - post-tax
Net Profit 7,772 5,703 5,249 5,909
Recurring Net Profit 6,269 5,703 5,249 5,909
Fully Diluted Recurring Net Profit 6,269 5,703 5,249 5,909
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
EBITDA 9,395 8,430 9,163 10,301
Cash Flow from Invt. & Assoc.
Change In Working Capital (11,954) (31,266) (277) (2,321)
(Incr)/Decr in Total Provisions
Other Non-Cash (Income)/Expense
Other Operating Cashflow
Net Interest (Paid)/Received (1,015) (1,540) (1,623) (1,768)
Tax Paid (1,330) (1,299) (1,421) (1,617)
Cashflow From Operations (4,905) (25,676) 5,842 4,596
Capex (1,139) (1,000) (1,500) (1,500)
Disposals Of FAs/subsidiaries
Acq. Of Subsidiaries/investments (429)
Other Investing Cashflow 1,855 1,400 500 500
Cash Flow From Investing 287 400 (1,000) (1,000)
Debt Raised/(repaid) 5,948 30,000 (8,000) (3,000)
Proceeds From Issue Of Shares (112) 0 0 0
Shares Repurchased
Dividends Paid (162) (176) (176) (176)
Preferred Dividends
Other Financing Cashflow 851 (161) (76) (76)
Cash Flow From Financing 6,525 29,663 (8,252) (3,252)
Total Cash Generated 1,907 4,388 (3,410) 344
Free Cashflow To Equity 1,329 4,724 (3,158) 596
Free Cashflow To Firm (3,603) (23,736) 6,465 5,364
(Rs mn) Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Total Cash And Equivalents 4,109 8,496 5,086 5,392
Total Debtors 6,740 3,185 2,983 4,466
Inventories 2,209 2,019 2,120 2,438
Total Other Current Assets 35,743 73,472 78,905 79,406
Total Current Assets 48,801 87,172 89,094 91,701
Fixed Assets 5,473 5,523 6,025 6,428
Total Investments 1,152 1,152 1,152 1,152
Intangible Assets 2,613 2,437 2,140 1,843
Total Other Non-Current Assets
Total Non-current Assets 9,237 9,111 9,317 9,423
Short-term Debt
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Creditors
Other Current Liabilities 10,021 12,739 17,794 17,774
Total Current Liabilities 10,021 12,739 17,794 17,774
Total Long-term Debt 12,475 42,475 34,475 31,475
Hybrid Debt - Debt Component
Total Other Non-Current Liabilities
Total Non-current Liabilities 12,475 42,475 34,475 31,475
Total Provisions
Total Liabilities 22,496 55,214 52,269 49,250
Shareholders Equity 35,541 41,069 46,142 51,875
Minority Interests
Total Equity 35,541 41,069 46,142 51,875
Mar-24A Mar-25F Mar-26F Mar-27F
Revenue Growth 5.7% (13.8%) 4.6% 13.7%
Operating EBITDA Growth 2.4% (10.3%) 8.7% 12.4%
Operating EBITDA Margin 21.9% 22.8% 23.7% 23.4%
Net Cash Per Share (Rs) (29.75) (120.82) (104.50) (92.75)
BVPS (Rs) 126.38 146.03 164.07 184.45
Gross Interest Cover 7.71 4.66 4.85 5.04
Effective Tax Rate 18.6% 18.4% 21.1% 21.2%
Net Dividend Payout Ratio 2.1% 2.5% 2.6% 2.3%
Accounts Receivables Days 55.12 48.93 29.08 30.88
Inventory Days 26.88 32.07 30.02 29.06
Accounts Payables Days
ROIC (%) 24.7% 16.8% 10.6% 12.0%
ROCE (%) 19.0% 10.9% 9.6% 10.9%
Return On Average Assets 16.2% 11.1% 8.6% 9.4%

Analyst(s)

Rajarshi MAITRA

(91) 22 4161 1546 rajarshi.maitra@incredresearch.com

Shivam AGARWAL

(91) 22 4161 1500 shivam.agarwal@incredresearch.com